We're seeking a Senior PMT to own supply forecasting capabilities that power Amazon's advertising business. Supply forecasting uses statistical sampling of large-scale data sets and predictive modeling to estimate publishers' future inventory availability, enabling Programmatic Guaranteed ad products and revenue optimization.

Key job responsibilities
-Own the product roadmap for supply forecasting systems that predict inventory across Amazon's publisher network

-Partner with science and engineering teams to develop ML models that forecast ad impression availability for Programmatic Guaranteed campaigns

-Define requirements for forecasting algorithms that account for seasonality, trends, and publisher behavior patterns

-Establish metrics to measure forecast accuracy and business impact

-Write technical specifications and influence system design decisions

A day in the life
Your morning starts reviewing overnight forecast accuracy metrics. A key publisher's inventory predictions were off by 15%, and you dig into the data to understand why. You join a working session with applied scientists to evaluate a new sampling algorithm that could improve forecast precision for high-variability inventory. After lunch, you're in back-to-back meetings: first with the Programmatic Guaranteed sales team discussing how forecast confidence intervals impact deal commitments, then with engineering to prioritize Q2 roadmap items, deciding if we should invest in real-time forecast updates or expand coverage to new publisher types? You spend the afternoon writing a technical spec for seasonal adjustment logic, referencing historical data patterns and proposing model enhancements. Before end of day, you review a dashboard showing how your forecasts performed against actual inventory delivery for last week's campaigns, identifying opportunities to refine your algorithms. You wrap up by preparing talking points for tomorrow's leadership review on forecast accuracy improvements and their revenue impact.

About the team
You'll join a group of product managers, applied scientists, and engineers focused on predicting publisher inventory availability across Amazon's advertising ecosystem. Our team builds the forecasting systems that enable Programmatic Guaranteed products, helping advertisers secure inventory commitments with confidence while maximizing publisher yield. We work at the intersection of large-scale data engineering, statistical modeling, and product strategy, tackling challenges like handling billions of inventory samples, accounting for seasonal patterns, and improving forecast accuracy in real-time. The team collaborates closely with yield optimization, sales, and publisher-facing teams to ensure our forecasts drive critical business decisions. We value technical depth, data-driven decision making, and the ability to translate complex analytical problems into practical product solutions.

Basic Qualifications

- 5+ years of technical product or program management experience
- Experience developing and executing/delivering product and technical roadmaps influencing internal and external stakeholders
- Experience directly working with engineering teams
- Experience working with data and leveraging analytics to make decisions

Preferred Qualifications

- Knowledge of data structures, algorithm design, statistics, and system design
- Experience formulating and solving predictive modeling, machine learning, forecasting or statistical modeling problems
- Experience with analytical tools and ability to dive deep into metrics and reporting
- Experience developing and executing/delivering product and technical roadmaps
- Experience communicating across technical and non-technical audiences, including executive level stakeholders or clients
- Experience in programmatic advertising
- Background in statistics, machine learning, or data science

Amazon is an equal opportunity employer and does not discriminate on the basis of protected veteran status, disability, or other legally protected status.

Los Angeles County applicants: Job duties for this position include: work safely and cooperatively with other employees, supervisors, and staff; adhere to standards of excellence despite stressful conditions; communicate effectively and respectfully with employees, supervisors, and staff to ensure exceptional customer service; and follow all federal, state, and local laws and Company policies. Criminal history may have a direct, adverse, and negative relationship with some of the material job duties of this position. These include the duties and responsibilities listed above, as well as the abilities to adhere to company policies, exercise sound judgment, effectively manage stress and work safely and respectfully with others, exhibit trustworthiness and professionalism, and safeguard business operations and the Company’s reputation. Pursuant to the Los Angeles County Fair Chance Ordinance, we will consider for employment qualified applicants with arrest and conviction records.

Our inclusive culture empowers Amazonians to deliver the best results for our customers. If you have a disability and need a workplace accommodation or adjustment during the application and hiring process, including support for the interview or onboarding process, please visit https://amazon.jobs/content/en/how-we-hire/accommodations for more information. If the country/region you’re applying in isn’t listed, please contact your Recruiting Partner.

The base salary range for this position is listed below. Your Amazon package will include sign-on payments and restricted stock units (RSUs). Final compensation will be determined based on factors including experience, qualifications, and location. Amazon also offers comprehensive benefits including health insurance (medical, dental, vision, prescription, Basic Life & AD&D insurance and option for Supplemental life plans, EAP, Mental Health Support, Medical Advice Line, Flexible Spending Accounts, Adoption and Surrogacy Reimbursement coverage), 401(k) matching, paid time off, and parental leave. Learn more about our benefits at https://amazon.jobs/en/benefits.

USA, CA, Sunnyvale - 173,900.00 - 235,200.00 USD annually
USA, NY, New York - 166,300.00 - 225,000.00 USD annually
USA, TX, Austin - 151,200.00 - 204,600.00 USD annually
USA, WA, Seattle - 151,200.00 - 204,600.00 USD annually